A new poll from The New York Times and Siena College shows a tied race in the Texas Senate contest. Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton each hold 46 percent support among likely voters.
The survey highlights a competitive landscape in a state long dominated by Republican candidates. Talarico’s performance signals growing Democratic strength in Texas, particularly in suburban and urban areas.
Paxton remains a known figure due to his statewide office and legal battles. His campaign focuses on conservative priorities and his record as attorney general.
Talarico, a former teacher and progressive voice, has centered his campaign on education and economic justice. He has gained traction by appealing to moderate and independent voters.
The poll’s margin of error stands at 3.5 percentage points, meaning the race could shift in either direction before Election Day. Both campaigns are expected to intensify their ground operations and advertising efforts.
Voter turnout will be critical in deciding the outcome. Both parties are investing heavily in mobilization drives across key counties.
This tie reflects broader national trends, where Democrats are competing in previously safe Republican seats. Texas remains a focal point for Senate control in the upcoming election cycle.
