Friday, July 31, 2026
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Oil futures climb as U.S.-Iran clashes stoke supply fears; stock futures flat after court blocks Trump’s tariff plan

Oil futures moved higher late Thursday in response to escalating military exchanges between the United States and Iran in the Persian Gulf. Stock-index futures remained largely unchanged, with investors digesting a federal court ruling that struck down President Donald Trump’s backup tariff plan.

The overnight rise in oil prices reflected market concerns over potential supply disruptions in a key global energy corridor. Traders reacted to reports of direct fire between U.S. and Iranian forces, raising fears of broader regional conflict.

Stock futures showed little movement as the court decision injected uncertainty into trade policy. The ruling invalidated a key legal basis for tariffs on foreign goods, which could reshape the administration’s trade strategy.

Analysts noted that the oil market’s response was measured, suggesting investors are still assessing the risk of sustained hostilities. Inventory data and global demand forecasts also continued to influence price direction.

The tariff ruling added a new layer of complexity for equity markets already cautious about trade negotiations. Legal challenges to executive trade actions have become a recurring theme in recent months.

Energy stocks may see early gains at the open, as higher crude prices often boost sector valuations. However, broader market sentiment remained cautious amid geopolitical and legal uncertainties.

Treasury yields edged lower as investors sought safe-haven assets following the military escalation. The dollar traded mixed against major currencies, reflecting shifting risk appetite.

Overall, markets faced a dual shock of geopolitical tension and legal trade policy shifts. The combination kept many traders on the sidelines, awaiting clearer signals on both fronts.

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