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Mortgage rates drop for third week, slowly breaking the ‘lock-in effect’ strangling home supply

Mortgage rates declined for the third consecutive week, offering a modest reprieve to a housing market long constrained by high prices and limited inventory.

The steady drop is beginning to weaken the so-called “lock-in effect.” That term describes homeowners’ reluctance to sell because they would forfeit their low-rate mortgages from previous years.

Many potential sellers had been waiting on the sidelines, unwilling to trade sub-3% or low-4% loans for current rates near 7%. That hesitation has choked the supply of existing homes for sale.

As rates inch lower, some of those homeowners are now reconsidering. The shift, though gradual, is starting to unlock a small portion of the market’s inventory.

Buyers who have been priced out or unable to find options are seeing a slight improvement in available listings. Greater supply could ease some of the upward pressure on home prices.

However, affordability remains a major hurdle. Even with lower rates, monthly payments are still significantly higher than they were just a few years ago.

The housing market remains in a delicate balance. Further rate declines could accelerate the thaw, but any sudden increase might reinforce the lock-in effect once again.

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