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The ‘simple math’ behind why oil prices must climb higher, warns JPMorgan

Oil prices are not aligned with current market realities, according to JPMorgan. The bank warns that demand destruction and higher U.S. pump prices are unavoidable.

The analysis centers on a gap between global crude supply and growing consumption. JPMorgan’s “simple math” shows that production is not keeping pace with demand recovery.

This imbalance puts upward pressure on prices. Consumers will likely feel the impact at the pump, with costs expected to climb further.

Current pricing fails to account for tightening supplies. Oil producers have not increased output enough to meet post-pandemic demand.

Investors and policymakers should prepare for sustained price increases. JPMorgan’s outlook suggests the current trajectory is unsustainable.

The bank’s research points to a clear trend. Without significant new supply, higher oil costs will ripple through the global economy.

U.S. drivers will face higher fuel expenses as a result. This dynamic could slow economic activity in the near term.

Market fundamentals support JPMorgan’s projection. Supply constraints and rising demand make further price hikes likely.

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